Retail property market resilient as rents hold up
THE retail property market has stayed resilient with rents holding up despite plenty of new supply coming on stream over the past year.
Suburban rents have been particularly strong and resisted the intense competition in the form of more than two million sq ft of space having been completed last year alone.
Experts say suburban malls with their ease of access for shoppers have been able to withstand supply pressures and survive the financial crisis better than their counterparts in the prime Orchard Road shopping belt.
But the arrival of newer suburban malls and the fact that rents are already nearing Orchard Road highs might make it harder for rents to keep rising, they add.
Colliers International’s data showed that average gross rents for prime space in regional malls stayed unchanged at $33.50 per sq ft (psf) per month in the fourth quarter of last year compared with the third.
This translates into an overall modest gain of 1.5 per cent for the year.
CB Richard Ellis (CBRE) data also showed that suburban rents inched up 3.6 per cent last year and averaged $29.10 psf in the fourth quarter. This is just shy of the historical peak of $29.30 psf in the third quarter of 2008.
Suburban rents have held firm despite newly minted malls entering the market in the fourth quarter, such as nex in Serangoon Central and Bedok Point in New Upper Changi Road.
CBRE’s data shows that average suburban rents increased from $29 psf in the third quarter to $29.10 psf in the fourth.
Ms Tay Huey Ying, Colliers Inter-national director of research and advisory, said such malls, with big population catchment nearby and good transport links, have helped rents hold steady.
Indeed, the popularity of such malls has also seen rents moving up towards Orchard Road levels in recent quarters.
In fact, the difference in rents between these segments has eroded from its five-year peak of 35.5 per cent in the third quarter of 2007 to 14.9 per cent in the fourth quarter of last year, Colliers said.
While rents in the micro-market of Orchard Road – which is expected to see about 600,000 sq ft of new retail space completed between this year and 2014 – are forecast to rise by up to 5 per cent this year, rental gains in suburban malls are expected to face resistance since rents are already nearing Orchard Road highs, Ms Tay added.
Ms Letty Lee, CBRE director of retail services, expects suburban rents to rise a maximum of 3 per cent this year, with Orchard Road rents expected to stabilise.
The suburban retail market has diversified in recent years with newer malls that have taken shoppers from the more mature ones, she added.
‘With population levels expected to remain the same, the pie is getting smaller as newer malls compete for a slice of the local consumer market.’
In Bishan, for example, Junction 8 is up against shops near other MRT stations as well as Ang Mo Kio Hub and nex, which is on the Circle Line, Ms Lee said.
Even though new retail space being completed is expected to fall to about 1 million sq ft, landlords have continued with their asset enhancement plans to stay competitive in the light of the overall rise in retail stock.
Far East Organization, for example, has announced plans for addition and alteration works to the two-storey Junction 10 mall on the Ten Mile Junction site. Singapore Press Holdings’ Clementi Mall is also expected to open fully in April.
Colliers data also showed that prime retail rents in Orchard Road have held stable for the past four quarters to close at $38.50 psf.
This has been on the back of positive consumer sentiment and strong visitor arrivals throughout the year.
Source: Straits Times, 31 Jan 2011

